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Lower serum uric acid level predicts mortality in dialysis patients


Unlike the majority of mammals, uric acid is the final product of purine nucleotide metabolism in humans because of the loss of uricase activity during evolution.[1] This loss of uricase activity, the uric acid balance in the kidneys, and lifestyle changes with eating habits are associated with a recent high prevalence of hyperuricemia. Hyperuricemia causes uric acid crystals to deposit in the joints and kidneys, and consequently causes gout and chronic interstitial nephritis. Moreover, increasing data suggest that a higher serum uric acid (SUA) level may be a risk factor or biomarker for both renal and cardiovascular outcomes in a range of populations. In the general population, a higher SUA level is linked to the development of new-onset chronic kidney disease (CKD)[2–4] and end-stage renal disease (ESRD).[5,6] In addition, an elevation of SUA level has been shown to be associated with hypertension,[7] diabetes mellitus (DM), metabolic syndrome, coronary disease,[8] and even cardiovascular mortality.[8–10]

The association between the SUA level and patients’ outcome seems complex in those with kidney disease. In humans, two-third of the uric acid produced is eliminated in the urine. Therefore, the SUA concentration is determined by both the rate of purine metabolism and the efficiency of renal clearance. Consequently, an elevation of the SUA level is highly prevalent in patients with CKD.[11,12] This makes it difficult to determine a causal or coincidental relationship between the SUA level and outcome in the CKD population compared with the general population. Previous studies on the effect of the SUA level on either a decline in renal function or cardiovascular disease have controversial findings.[13–15] Additionally, higher SUA levels have been reported to be associated with increased[16,17] or neutral effects[18] on mortality in patients with CKD. Regarding the patients with ESRD, the impact of SUA level on their mortality remains more obscure. In patients on hemodialysis (HD), a J-shaped relationship between the SUA level and mortality has been suggested,[19] whereas several studies have demonstrated that hyperuricemia is protective against mortality[20,21] and cardiovascular events.[22] In peritoneal dialysis, a higher SUA level was found to be harmful in residual renal function,[23] endothelial dysfunction,[24] and cardiovascular events and mortality.[25,26] However, most of these previous studies were retrospective, single-center trials with a single measurement from small population size.

In contrast to the common notion that SUA is a cardiovascular risk factor, SUA is one of the most important antioxidants in human biologic fluids.[27] It is thought that SUA contributes to more than half of the antioxidant capacity of blood.[28,29] This antioxidative potential of SUA may be protective in patients with ESRD who have higher oxidative stress than individuals with preserved renal function. Therefore, we hypothesized that a lower SUA level may increase the mortality risk in patients with ESRD. To prove this hypothesis, we explored the association between the SUA level and mortality in patients with ESRD by using a nationwide representative prospective ESRD cohort in Korea. Because SUA may be influenced on various conditions such as dialysis modality, efficiency of dialysis, and nutritional status, we used time-averaged SUA (TA-SUA) to represent SUA level more precisely in dialysis patients.

Study population

We enrolled patients with ESRD between August 2008 and September 2014 through an ongoing cohort study (Clinical Research Center for End Stage Renal Disease [CRC for ESRD]) in South Korea. The CRC for ESRD is a nationwide, multicenter, web-based, prospective cohort of patients with CKD who have started dialysis. This investigation was registered as a clinical trial (NCT00931970).[30] CRC for ESRD had enrolled a total of 4132 adult (age ≥18 years) ESRD patients from 31 dialysis centers. Among them, we included patients who maintained dialysis for at least 3 month and had more than 2 SUA levels. We excluded patients who were initiated on dialysis within 3 months or had no available SUA level. All the patients were informed about the study and participated voluntarily after providing written consent. The study was approved by the institutional review boards of each center.[31]

Clinical parameters

The clinical data were collected in the form of web-based medical questionnaires ( Well-trained data coordinators completed the questionnaire items by reviewing medical records or conducting in-person interviews. Baseline information at the time of enrollment included age, sex, height, weight, dialysis duration, total Kt/V, primary renal disease, and comorbidities. The dialysis duration was defined as the duration of time between the dialysis initiation date and the patient enrollment date, which was calculated in months. To exclude any medication effect on SUA levels, we gathered information about uricosuric and antiuricosuric drugs. For uricosuric agents, losartan and calcium channel blocking antihypertensive medications were included. In addition, we obtained concomitant use of aspirin, angiotensin receptor blockades except losartan, angiotensinogen-converting enzyme inhibitors, and β-blockers and diuretics as antiuricosuric agents.

At the time of enrollment, we checked patients’ systolic and diastolic blood pressure, weight, and height. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight in kg ÷ (height in m).[2] As the SUA level may be substantially affected by one's nutritional status, we focused on collecting data associated with the patients’ nutritional status. First, we evaluated the subjective global assessment (SGA) to determine the patients’ overall protein-energy nutritional status. The SGA includes 6 subjective assessments: 5 based on the patient's history of weight change, dietary intake, gastrointestinal symptoms, functional impairment, and comorbidities as related to his or her nutritional needs; and 1 based on the physical examination of loss of subcutaneous fat, muscle wasting, ankle edema, sacral edema, and ascites. Each assessment was given a score of 1 to 7, indicating well nourished (6–7), mild to moderately malnourished (3–6), and severely malnourished (1–2). Second, we collected laboratory data such as the plasma hemoglobin, serum creatinine, albumin, calcium, phosphorus, and highly sensitive c-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels. During the follow-up period, SUA levels were collected every 12 months with other laboratory and clinical data. Averaged SUA was obtained for up to 12 months to calculate the TA-SUA. The blood samples were collected prior to dialysis and meal.

Outcome measurement

The primary outcome was all-cause mortality after enrollment. The dates on mortality and cause of death were reported within 1 month after the event. In patients who withdrew from the study, we ascertained the mortality data from Statistics Korea.[32] We combined all these data according to the unique identification number held by all Koreans who provided informed consent. It was assumed that patients who did not have a reported death did not meet the primary outcome at the time of data close-out. In addition, the causes of death were divided into 8 categories: cardiac, vascular, infection, liver disease, gastro-intestinal, metabolic, endocrine causes, and other. The causes of death were collected for 75% of those who died.

Statistical Analysis

To compare the baseline characteristics according to the TA-SUA level, participants were stratified into 5 groups of TA-SUA levels as follows: <5.5, 5.5–6.4, 6.5–7.4, 7.5–8.4 (reference), and ≥8.5 mg/dL. Differences among the TA-SUA groups were tested using the χ2 test for categorical variables, and the analysis of variance t test for continuous variables. To assess the relationship between the TA-SUA level and demographic and clinical data, univariate and multivariate linear regression analyses were performed. Variables that showed a significant association (P <0.10) in univariate analysis (age, sex, the dialysis type, BMI, SGA, albumin level, TA-SUA, and diabetes) or were of considerable theoretical relevance (total Kt/V, calcium level, phosphorus level, hypertension, gout, uricosuric drugs, and antiuricosuric drugs) were entered into the multivariate stepwise linear regression models. Covariables with colinearity were excluded from multivariate analyses.

To explore the association between the TA-SUA level and mortality in patients on dialysis, a Kaplan–Meier curve was plotted according to the 5 TA-SUA groups. Also, we fit a restricted cubic spline function. From these analyses, we restratified participants into 2 groups of TA-SUA levels (TA-SUA <5.5 mg/dL vs. ≥5.5 mg/dL). Survival differences were compared by the log-rank test. To calculate the relative risk of death, hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were obtained by Cox proportional hazards models. The proportional hazard assumption for the Cox model was tested by log minus log plots. Factors that showed a significant association (P <0.10) after univariate analysis or were of important clinical concern were entered into the time-dependent multivariate Cox regression analysis. Variable selections were performed using a forward conditional method. Since the association between the TA-SUA <5.5 mg/dL and mortality in patients on dialysis may be a feature of malnutrition, we dissected this relationship according to the SGA, albumin level, and BMI. We also performed subgroup analyses according to age because these parameters were proven to affect the SUA level independently. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS, version 21.0 for Windows (SPSS Inc, Chicago, IL) and STATA, version 12.0 (StataCorp LP, College Station, TX). Statistical significance was defined as a P <0.05.

Comparison of the characteristics according to the time-averaged SUA level

Among a total of 4132 patients in the CRC-ESRD cohort, we excluded 1910 incident hemodialysis patients and 484 patients without available SUA levels. Therefore, 1738 patients were included in the final analysis (Fig. 1). Among them, 45.2% were women (n = 786) and 54.8% were men (n = 952). The mean age was 56 ± 13 years, with a median follow-up of 43.9 months. Fig. 2 shows the TA-SUA level distributions according to sex. The TA-SUA level distribution was not much different between men and women, although the TA-SUA level was slightly higher in men than in women (7.29 ± 2.70 mg/dL vs. 6.88 ± 1.66 mg/dL, P <0.001).

Table 1 presents the different baseline characteristics by the TA-SUA level. As the TA-SUA level decreased, the participants were older and more were women. Patients with a lower TA-SUA level tended to have higher proportions of malnourishment (the lowest TA-SUA group, 16.6% vs. the highest TA-SUA group, 7.9%; P = 0.019). Additionally, they had a lower BMI, serum phosphorus, triglyceride, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, total protein, and albumin levels than patients with higher TA-SUA levels. However, dialysis efficiency was better in the lower TA-SUA groups than in the higher TA-SUA groups (P < 0.001). Although insignificant, as the TA-SUA level decreased, the proportion of diabetes was increased, whereas that of gout was decreased in comorbid conditions (P > 0.05). When we analyzed baseline characteristics divided by dialysis type, most baseline characteristics showed similar trend according to SUA groups in HD and PD patients (Supplementary Table 1, 2).

Clinical parameters affecting the time-averaged SUA level

Next, we explored the baseline parameters affecting the TA-SUA level in our population. Table 2 summarizes the results. The TA-SUA level had a significant positive correlation with nutritional factors such as the BMI (regression coefficient [B] = 0.042, P = 0.091), SGA (B = −0.062, P = 0.014), serum phosphorus level (B = 0.107, P <0.001), and albumin level (B = 0.127, P <0.001). The levels of hs-CRP and gout did not show any relationship. Regarding the dialysis type, patients on peritoneal dialysis (PD) were associated with lower TA-SUA levels. Antiuricosuric drugs were significantly associated with the TA-SUA (B = −0.067, P = 0.002), while uricosuric drugs were not (B = 0.014, P = 0.517). Interestingly, there was an inverse association between the TA-SUA levels and DM (B = −0.052, P = 0.051). After making an adjustment, we found that PD, a lower BMI, lower albumin levels, lower serum phosphorus levels, and combined DM were significantly associated with lower SUA levels.

Survival analyses

During the follow-up periods, 206 of 1738 (11.9%) patients died. The all-cause mortality rate was higher in patients on PD than in those on HD (16.3% [106/651] vs. 9.2% [100/1087], P <0.001). Figure 3A illustrates the categorical mortality rate. The highest TA-SUA group had a similar mortality rate to the middle 3 TA-SUA groups. However, the lowest TA-SUA group had a steeply elevated mortality rate compared with the other 4 TA-SUA groups. Figure 3B shows nonlinear mortality risk according to the TA-SUA level after adjusting for clinical covariates such as age, sex, the dialysis type, SBP, BMI, diabetes, albumin level, and SGA. In terms of the nonlinear spline curve, there was an overall U-shape association between the TA-SUA level and adjusted log HR. Different from a wide range of CIs of the mortality risk for higher TA-SUA levels, an increase in the mortality risk was more prominent in the lower TA-SUA levels with a narrow CI range. Moreover, this association was obvious for the TA-SUA level <5.5 mg/dL in terms of both the HR and CI. Subsequently, we performed survival analyses by stratifying the TA-SUA into 2 groups: TA-SUA <5.5 mg/dL and TA-SUA ≥5.5 mg/dL.

Figure 4 shows the survival curves obtained using the Kaplan–Meier method. Patients with the TA-SUA <5.5 mg/dL had a significantly higher mortality rate compared with those with TA-SUA ≥5.5 mg/dL (log rank, P <0.001). A similar trend was observed when divided into HD and PD groups (Fig. 4B). To explore the effect of the TA-SUA level on all-cause mortality, we performed Cox regression analyses. Table 3 summarizes the results of univariate and multivariate analyses. In univariate analysis, we found that the TA-SUA <5.5 mg/dL was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (unadjusted HR, 2.003; 95% CI, 1.435–2.795; P <0.001). Moreover, the TA-SUA <5.5 mg/dL was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality even after adjustment for clinical covariates such as age, dialysis type, total Kt/V, BMI, SGA, serum calcium, phosphorus, albumin, TA-SUA, DM, hypertension, gout, uricosuric drugs, and antiuricosuric drugs (adjusted HR, 1.720; 95% CI, 1.007–2.937; P = 0.047).

Subgroup analyses

Since the association between the SUA <5.5 mg/dL and mortality in patients on dialysis may be a feature of malnutrition, we dissected this relationship according to the SGA, albumin level, and BMI. We also performed subgroup analyses according to age, sex, and the dialysis type because these parameters were proven to affect the SUA level independently, as described in Table 2. Figure 5 summarizes the results. There were no significant interactions between the subgroups except DM. The harmful effect of the TA-SUA <5.5 mg/dL level on all-cause mortality was more prominent in age ≤65 years group (adjusted HR, 2.569; 95% CI, 1.152–5.731; P = 0.021; P for interaction = 0.365), patients with HD treatment (adjusted HR, 2.797; 95% CI, 1.335–5.861; P = 0.006; P for interaction = 0.746), overweight (BMI >23 kg/m2) (adjusted HR 2.116, 95% CI, 0.849–5.275; P = 0.108; P for interaction = 0.384), normoalbuminemic (adjusted HR 3.003, 95% CI, 1.572–5.737; P = 0.001; P for interaction = 0.978), well-nourished (adjusted HR 2.665; 95% CI, 1.397–5.086; P = 0.002; P for interaction = 0.313), and patients with DM (adjusted HR 2.158; 95% CI, 1.138–4.095; P = 0.024; P for interaction = 0.019). The harmful effect of the TA-SUA was similar between women (adjusted HR, 1.797; 95% CI, 0.767–4.208; P = 0.177) and men (adjusted HR, 1.846; 95% CI, 0.846–4.025; P = 0.123; P for interaction = 0.463).

Causes of deaths

Table 4 shows the causes of death according to the TA-SUA levels. Overall, the 2 most common causes of death were infection (n = 62, 30.1%) and a cardiogenic cause (n = 54, 26.2%), and the distribution of causes of death did not differ according to the TA-SUA levels.


In this study, we explored the relationship between the TA-SUA level and all-cause mortality in maintenance dialysis patients. SUA level was easily affected by diet, efficiency of dialysis, and drugs. Notably, we used the TA-SUA from the blood samples that were collected prior to dialysis and meal, instead of a single-baseline measurement of SUA. We found that distribution of the TA-SUA level was not much different according to sex as much in the general population. As we expected, the TA-SUA level was associated with patients’ nutritional status. We also demonstrated that a lower TA-SUA level, especially the lowest (<5.5 mg/dL), among our dialysis groups was independently associated with all-cause mortality, over a median follow-up of 43.9 months. This relationship remained significant after considering the nutritional status and any other parameters associated with the TA-SUA levels.

The reference range of SUA is typically 3.4 to 7.2 mg/dL (200–430 μmol/L) for men and 2.4 to 6.1 mg/dL (140–360 μmol/L) for women. Such a sex difference has been well described in previous studies performed in the general population.[33] In patients on dialysis, there are limited data about sex differences of the SUA level distribution. A few previous studies have shown that the SUA level of men is higher than that of women by >0.5 mg/dL.[16,34] In our study, the difference was <0.3 mg/dL, but it was significant. The reason for this difference in our cohort remains uncertain. An advanced age and menopausal status,[35,36] impaired renal uric acid excretion state, and sex hormonal dysfunction in the uremic status[37] may affect the SUA metabolism, although further studies are warranted to clarify this smaller sex difference of the SUA level and its mechanism.

The relationship between the SUA level and mortality in those with ESRD has been explored in 5 HD cohorts[16,19–21,38] and 3 PD cohorts,[25,26,39] and the results were diverse. Several studies showed that a low SUA level may be harmful against mortality,[16,19–21,26] whereas others insisted that hyperuricemia increased mortality.[25,38] One study even reported that the prognostic value of SUA on mortality was weak, and it may be confounded by traditional cardiovascular risk factors or uremia-related factors.[39] This heterogeneity may be derived by many confounders that affect SUA levels in patients on dialysis.

First, SUA can be considered one of the nutritional factors in patients on dialysis. A recent study clarified the association between SUA levels and the nutritional status in patients on HD.[34] Therefore, nutritional markers should be finely adjusted to demonstrate the independent prognostic value of SUA on mortality in patients with ESRD. In our prospective study, we considered all possible nutritional factors, including the SGA, BMI, serum albumin, and phosphorus levels. BMI is a paradoxical variable for mortality in patients with ESRD.[40] Hypoalbuminemia is also well established as a potent independent risk factor for morbidity and mortality in patients on dialysis.[41] Aside from laboratory markers, we also considered the SGA, which represents the overall concepts of nutritional factors such as the subjects’ recent weight change, dietary intake, and gastrointestinal symptoms, loss of subcutaneous fat, and signs of muscle wasting.[42] In patients with ESRD, the SGA was an independent predictor for mortality in a large longitudinal cohort study.[43] In our subgroup analyses, an independent role of the lowest SUA level on elevated mortality was prominent in the well-nourished (on SGA), higher BMI, and higher serum albumin level group than each counterpart. This implies that the SUA level is not a simple marker that reflects the nutritional status of patients with chronic dialysis.

Another important issue to address is that both hyper- and hypouricemia can be associated with an increased mortality. Two previous studies on patients on PD illustrated this common concept by showing that hyperuricemia was associated with an increased all-cause, especially cardiovascular mortality.[25,26] However, 1 study enrolled patients with a relatively young age and fewer comorbidities compared with our cohort.[26] The other study had some limitations, including a small sample size and short follow-up duration.[25] Our study participants were observed prospectively at nationally distributed multicenters, and therefore they are representative of real-world patients with chronic dialysis. Our study demonstrated that a lower TA-SUA level increased the all-cause mortality in patients with chronic dialysis. The SUA is a powerful scavenger for oxygen-free radicals and acts as one of the most important antioxidants in human biological fluids.[27,44] There is enough evidence that a lower SUA level is associated with inflammatory and degenerative diseases.[22,29,45–48] In patients on dialysis, it was found that the total antioxidant capacity was correlated with SUA levels due to primarily higher levels of SUA.[49] Therefore, it is possible that a lower SUA level results in a reduced total antioxidant capacity in patients on dialysis, although further investigations are warranted to clarify the precise mechanisms.

The strengths of our study are as follows: this was a prospective cohort study with a large number of patients treated with PD or HD at multiple centers; we completed a detailed assessment and adjusted for nutritional, metabolic risk factors and drugs, which were the most important confounders of the SUA level; we consider dialysis-related factors that may have eliminated the SUA in patients with limited or absent renal function; we consequently suggested an important but underestimated role of SUA as an antioxidant in patients on dialysis, and we used TA-SUA instead of single SUA measurement to minimize fluctuating effect of SUA.

However, several limitations should be noted. First, we could obtain only partial information about medication that may have changed the SUA levels. Since this study had a prospective cohort design, we did not obtain this information at the time of the study design. Although we could not gather the medication for gout treatment, but we could adjust gout history, uricosuric agents, and antiuricosuric agents. Even after adjusted the gout and drugs affecting SUA levels, the TA-SUA <5.5 mg/dL was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality. Second, we also could not consider the other antioxidative parameters that may provide one of the relationships between SUA and antioxidant capacity. Among the usual laboratory tests, total bilirubin and gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) have been considered markers of oxidative stress. Some of our collaborators have already demonstrated that high serum GGT levels were an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality in PD patients by using the same cohort.[50] Unfortunately, serum GGT levels were collected in only 836 (39.7%) patients of our cohort, so we could not include serum GGT levels as a covariate in our regression analysis. Furthermore, total bilirubin levels were not collected in this prospective cohort. Further translational research may be warranted to demonstrate the precise antioxidative effect of SUA on mortality.

In conclusion, our study demonstrated the impact of SUA on survival in ESRD patients. The TA-SUA <5.5 mg/dL is associated with a higher mortality in patients. This association was more prominent in aged, overweight, normoalbuminemic, well-nourished, and diabetic patients. The causal relationship is still obscure and further research should be warranted to clarify precise mechanism.


The authors acknowledge the investigators of the cohort study (Clinical Research Center for End Stage Renal Disease) in South Korea.